NFL Thanksgiving Day best bets: Shorthanded Cowboys get W

A trio of games on Thanksgiving kick off Week 12 of the NFL season. The Bears host the Lions to get things going, followed by the Raiders visiting the Cowboys and the Bills taking on the Saints.

Each week during the season, betting analysts Doug Kezirian (13-20-2, 1-1 last week), Tyler Fulghum (9-23, 1-3), Joe Fortenbaugh (34-27-1, 0-4) and Anita Marks (173-161, 8-15), Fantasy and Sports Betting analyst Eric Moody (85-75, 6-15), ESPN Stats & Information’s Seth Walder (45-41, 4-2) and Mackenzie Kraemer (4-10, 1-2), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (23-18-1, 2-1) and Football Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz (36-28, 2-4) will provide their top plays across the NFL landscape. (Records through Week 11.)

Here are their best bets for Week 12 of the NFL season.

Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook as of Wednesday (unless otherwise indicated).

Jump to: Bears-Lions | Raiders-Cowboys | Bills-Saints

Thanksgiving Day games

Chicago Bears (-3, 41.5) at Detroit Lions, 12:30 p.m. ET

Schatz: This is the tale of two backup quarterbacks. Andy Dalton is the backup to Justin Fields, but that’s only because the Bears need to develop Fields for the future. Dalton has been the better quarterback this season and gives the Bears a better chance to win if Fields needs to sit out because of Sunday’s rib injury. Fields’ passing DVOA of -41.7% is the worst among qualifying quarterbacks. Dalton’s -6.5% is only slightly below average. ESPN’s QBR tells a similar story, with Dalton at 54.0 and Fields at 25.6. It’s a huge gap.

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